I have two options here:
- take the poison with my small dice and keep the X=20 safe for another turn
- avoid the poison by rerolling the X=20. If I do this, it certainly makes more sense to take the X=12 than the (6).
But which gives me a better chance of winning?
1 comment:
I'm not going to fully do the math, but i think your instinct is right and you don't want to take the poison --- as soon you take the p(10), you have to keep a die to win (which is pretty unlikely if you lose the (20) on reroll, with your much smaller dice against your opponent's larger ones).
If you reroll the (20), your chances of keeping it aren't that much worse than if you rolled it one turn later, and it still leaves you a path to victory in which you don't take the poison.
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