Tuesday, May 26, 2020

small math problem


I should have done the math to see which option is better -- rerolling the 20-sided die will eliminate the (10) and has an 80% chance of surviving for the final reroll [though there's a 1/20 chance of rolling a 5 and possibly having both 4-sided dice reroll higher than 2, etc].

But capturing with the (8) has a 50% chance of rerolling out of capture range for a sure victory! Even if not, the (20) will be able to capture on the next round with at least a 50% chance -- probably substantially better than that -- of rolling out of danger. And it's so cool to leave the (20) so low!

Still, I really should have worked it out in detail to know for sure which option is better.




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