Queen's Gambit

I'm almost certainly dead here. Do I have any chance at all? I think there are only two moves that
keep any mathematical chance of me winning alive.

Game #2400  •  ElihuRoot (Nimue) vs. eksortso (Guenever)  •  Round #3

Random Buttonlords (really) (with a reverse)

Your turn to attack

(4) (6) s(12) (20) (X) Button: Nimue Player: ElihuRoot

W/L/T: 1/1/0 (3)  •  Score: 23 (-18.3 sides) Dice captured: (12) (4) 4 (6) 5 s(12) 11 (X=12)  10  1 (6) 5 s(8) 9 (10) 5 (X=13) Dice captured: (20), (X=12) W/L/T: 1/1/0 (3)  •  Score: 50.5 (+18.3 sides)

Player: eksortso Button: Guenever (6) s(8) (10) (12) (X)

Do I take the 10-sided die with my d8? or with my d4  &  s4? or just with the s4? That last one seems majorized by using both the d4 and s4, so we can ignore it -- and PROBABLY, it makes more sense to reroll my d8 in the 50-50 chance of rolling out of range of tavella's remaining dice.

But another option would be to take t.'s d6 with my s4, keeping my 8-sided die safe for another turn with at least a 70% chane of being able to take the d10 on the next turn, guaranteeing at least a tie.

Game #2633  •  ElihuRoot (Tiffany) vs. tavella (Cesare)  •  Round #5

Your turn to attack

(4) s(8) (8) (10) s(X) Button: Tiffany Player: ElihuRoot

W/L/T: 2/2/0 (3)  •  Score: 28 (0 sides) Dice captured: (10/20=10), (10) (4) 1 (8) 6 s(X=4) 3 s(8)  2  3 (4/10=4) 3 (6/10=6) 4 (10/12=10) Dice captured: (10), s(8) W/L/T: 2/2/0 (3)  •  Score: 28 (0 sides)

Player: tavella Button: Cesare (10) (4/10) (6/10) (10/12) (10/20)

Chat:

Default AttackPower AttackSkill AttackShadow AttackSURRENDER!?

Die skills in this game: Shadowi

What are sansibaman's chances of pulling this off?

What's the best move?

There are only three possible attacks, so this isn't too hard to figure out by brute force -- but can you see it quickly?

ElihuRoot performed Power attack using [(X=4):4] against [(12):3]; Defender (12) was captured; Attacker (X=4) rerolled 4 => 1.

Game #3311  •  ElihuRoot (Buddy) vs. sansibaman (Kith)  •  Round #5

Opponent's turn to attack

s(6) (10) s(20) (20) (X) Button: Buddy Player: ElihuRoot

W/L/T: 2/2/0 (3)  •  Score: 53 (+9.3 sides) Dice captured: (X=18), (8), (12) s(6) 4 s(20) 18 (X=4) 1 1 (6) 12 (12)  3  (12) Dice captured: (10), (20) W/L/T: 2/2/0 (3)  •  Score: 39 (-9.3 sides)

Player: sansibaman Button: Kith (6) (8) (12) (12) (X)