I love playing Max!

But not, in general, against Sailor Moon style buttons -- getting that first win can be very tough, since they're only going to capture 4 dice at best (and maybe only 3 if they don't get the initiative, which is a distinct possibility.) [And, of course, even if you GET that first win, some people are clever enough to avoid taking any reserve dice.]

I think I picked the right swing die to maximize my chances of winning a round -- and here, on the second try, I think I have a pretty good shot at it. What should I do to maximize the chances of winning this round -- and what are those chances, approximately?


Button Men Game #677915
Tournament Legal challenge, copying communication from game 677673

Skills in this game: Poison, Reserve, X Swing
Player: ElihuRoot *Dead Dude* *Fanatic*
Your Button Man: Max (p12 p12 p20 p20 p30 p30 pX pX) Score: -104 (-67.3 sides) Rounds Won/Lost/Tied: 0 / 1 / 0 (Out of 3 wins)
Your Captured Dice: 20-sided die

Poison 12-sided die	Poison 20-sided die	Poison 30-sided die	Poison 30-sided die	Poison X Swing (with 16 sides)	Poison X Swing (with 16 sides)		Poison 20-sided die
7	13	26	5	14	12		3 Captured last turn
8-sided die	8-sided die	10-sided die
1	5	10

Opponent: alaric *Sci-Fied* *Silver Medal in Men's Boxing* *Silver Medal in Men's Marathon* *Silver Medal in Men's Synchronized Swimming* *Gold Medal in Men's Wrestling*
Button Man: Sailor Moon (8 8 10 20 r6 r10 r20 r20) Score: -3 (67.3 sides) Rounds Won/Lost/Tied: 1 / 0 / 0
Captured Dice: Poison 12-sided die, Poison 20-sided die