I think I need to take the d6 shadow, but with which die? all 3 have their merits...

Button Men Game #714216
Reverse Battle From Game 712532

Skills in this game: Morphing, Shadow, X Swing

Player: ElihuRoot *Dead Dude* *Fanatic*
Your Button Man: Mau (6 6 8 12 mX)   Score: 17 (-11.3 sides)   Rounds Won/Lost/Tied: 0 / 1 / 0 (Out of 3 wins)
Your Captured Dice: 8-sided die

6-sided die	8-sided die	Morphing X Swing (with 4 sides)		6-sided die
3	3	3		6 Captured last turn
Shadow 6-sided die	Shadow 10-sided die	12-sided die	X Swing (with 4 sides)
3	8	8	1

Opponent: theAlmighty *heavenly* *Silver Medal in Men's Basketball* *Silver Medal in Men's Fencing* *Silver Medal in Men's Judo* *Gold Medal in Men's Table Tennis*
Button Man: Starchylde (s6 8 s10 12 X)   Score: 34 (11.3 sides)   Rounds Won/Lost/Tied: 1 / 0 / 0
Captured Dice: 12-sided die, 6-sided die

I'm not dead yet!

What's my best move? [remember, that twin V can't be set any lower than 6 and 6]

Skills in this game: Turbo, Twin, Poison, Shadow, V Swing, Speed

Player: ElihuRoot *Dead Dude* *Fanatic*
Your Button Man: Mr. Peach (6 z(8,8) ps(12,12) (V,V)!)   Score: 8 (-8 sides)   Rounds Won/Lost/Tied: 1 / 1 / 1 (Out of 3 wins)
Your Captured Dice: 8-sided die, 12-sided die

Poison Shadow Twin Die (both with 12 sides)	Twin V Turbo Swing (with 12 and 12 sides)		6-sided die
24	14		4 Captured last turn
10-sided die	10-sided die	Poison Shadow Speed V Turbo Swing (with 12 sides)
2	10	10

Opponent: fnord *fnord* *Fanatic*
Button Man: Werner (8 10 10 12 pszV!)   Score: 20 (8 sides)   Rounds Won/Lost/Tied: 1 / 1 / 1
Captured Dice: Speed Twin Die (both with 8 sides), 6-sided die

Select an attack:  Power Attack Shadow Attack Skill Attack

Submitted by James -- should one take the poison now?

Not such a great position

I'm in big trouble here no matter what I do... but, given that I have to reroll the 10-sided die anyway, do you think it makes sense to take the 2-sided die, just to give me that extra 1/10th chance of survival?

Button Men Game #712342

Player: ElihuRoot *Dead Dude* *Fanatic*
Your Button Man: Adam Spam (F4 F6 6 12 X)   Score: 17 (-8.3 sides)   Rounds Won/Lost/Tied: 0 / 0 / 0 (Out of 3 wins)
Your Captured Dice: Option 7/13 7-sided die

Fire 4-sided die	Fire 6-sided die	X Swing (with 10 sides)		6-sided die
3	2	10		4 Captured last turn
2-sided die	Option 7/13 (with 7 sides)	Option 7/13 (with 7 sides)	Option 7/13 (with 7 sides)
1	7	7	6

Opponent: randomlife *randomly randomized randomizers* *Fanatic*
Button Man: Shamrock (2 7/13 7/13 7/13 7/13)   Score: 29.5 (8.3 sides)   Rounds Won/Lost/Tied: 0 / 0 / 0
Captured Dice: 12-sided die, 6-sided die

Not hard to do the math, but maybe counterintuitive

What should Limax do here? There's only one move that has any chance of winning. You can work it out carefully, or you can use your instinct -- but your instincts may betray you!

Correction -- there are two moves that have *some* chance of winning, but one is a small chance and the other is a VERY small chance.

Viewing Game #711912
Reverse Battle From Game 711736
This game was last modified on Fri Jan 28, 2011 10:33:16

Player: ElihuRoot *Dead Dude* *Fanatic*
Button Man: Nethershadow    Score: 45 (27.3 sides)   Rounds Won/Lost/Tied: 2 / 1 / 0 (out of 3 round(s))
Captured Dice: 20-sided die, X Swing 4-sided die, 8-sided die

Dice	6-sided die	10-sided die	Shadow 10-sided die
Value	1	9	9
Dice	8-sided die	Poison 16-sided die
Value	5	13

* Next Turn * Player: Limax *Wombat* *Is a MAN* *Fanatic* * Next Turn *
Button Man: Shepherd    Score: 4 (-27.3 sides)   Rounds Won/Lost/Tied: 1 / 2 / 0
Captured Dice: Option 10/20 10-sided die, Option 6/30 6-sided die

slightly later in the same round

 

Tournament #15120: Friday like Soldiers Current Round: Round 2. (organized by TheUniverse)

Skills in this game: X Swing

Player: ElihuRoot *Dead Dude* *Fanatic*
Your Button Man: RandomBM (4 8 10 20 X)   Score: 38 (0.6 sides)   Rounds Won/Lost/Tied: 0 / 0 / 0 (Out of 3 wins)
Your Captured Dice: 20-sided die, 6-sided die

4-sided die	20-sided die		8-sided die
2	5		6 Captured last turn
4-sided die	20-sided die	X Swing (with 4 sides)
3	19	2

Opponent: TheUniverse *My Birthday*
Button Man: RandomBM (4 6 20 20 X)   Score: 37 (-0.6 sides)   Rounds Won/Lost/Tied: 0 / 0 / 0
Captured Dice: 10-sided die, X Swing 5-sided die, 8-sided die

two obvious options -- 

ONE: take his d4(2) with MY d4(2), hope to roll  a 4

force him to roll his d20. I'd then have 1 chance in 5 he'd roll low enough to be captures.

that gives me 1 chance in 20 -- actually, still more, since even if my d(4) rolls low, he has to either

roll his d20 or give mine one last chance of rolling above 19  -- this is 3/4* 1/20, for a grand total of 

7/80, or 8.75%

TWO:  take his d4(3) with my d20(5).  1/10 of the time I roll 1 or 2 and it's over; 1/20 I roll 3. He'll take my d4 and 3/4 of the time I'll have one more chance to roll the d20, with 1/20 chance of winning.

 15/20 I roll 4-18, and then I'll certainly get one more chance to roll above 19, with 1/20 chance of winning;

1/20 I roll 19 and he has to take me, I could win if he rolls 1 or 2 [1/10 chance], or if he rolls a 3

and my next attack rerolls to a 4 [1/20 * 1/4 chance];

and the final 1/20 I roll 20 and I win.

what's that?  1/20*(3/4*1/20) + 15/20 * 1/20  + 1/20[1/10 + 1/20*1/4]  + 1/20 = 38/400 = 9.5%
that's pretty close!

a very common sort of decision.

Should I reroll the 20-sided die, with a faint chance of forcing the reroll of *his* 20-sided die and
an even fainter chance of rolling a 20 -- but with the not-inconsiderable  risk of having the die roll low and be recaptured by his little die?

Or should I take his d20 with my d8 and d5, which are currently showing their maximum and reroll
THEM -- leaving my d20 still vulnerable, and risking losing my little dice without any real compensation?


Button Men Game #710080
This game is 'for fun' and does not count for player rankings.

Tournament #15120: Friday like Soldiers Current Round: Round 2. (organized by TheUniverse)

Skills in this game: X Swing

Player: ElihuRoot *Dead Dude* *Fanatic*
Your Button Man: RandomBM (4 8 10 20 X)   Score: 18.5 (-12.3 sides)   Rounds Won/Lost/Tied: 0 / 0 / 0 (Out of 3 wins)
Your Captured Dice: None

4-sided die	8-sided die	20-sided die	X Swing (with 5 sides)		10-sided die
2	8	18	5		6 Captured last turn
4-sided die	6-sided die	20-sided die	20-sided die	X Swing (with 4 sides)
3	2	19	13	3

Opponent: TheUniverse *My Birthday*
Button Man: RandomBM (4 6 20 20 X)   Score: 37 (12.3 sides)   Rounds Won/Lost/Tied: 0 / 0 / 0
Captured Dice: 10-sided die