slightly later in the same round

 

Tournament #15120: Friday like Soldiers Current Round: Round 2. (organized by TheUniverse)

Skills in this game: X Swing

Player: ElihuRoot *Dead Dude* *Fanatic*
Your Button Man: RandomBM (4 8 10 20 X)   Score: 38 (0.6 sides)   Rounds Won/Lost/Tied: 0 / 0 / 0 (Out of 3 wins)
Your Captured Dice: 20-sided die, 6-sided die

4-sided die	20-sided die		8-sided die
2	5		6 Captured last turn
4-sided die	20-sided die	X Swing (with 4 sides)
3	19	2

Opponent: TheUniverse *My Birthday*
Button Man: RandomBM (4 6 20 20 X)   Score: 37 (-0.6 sides)   Rounds Won/Lost/Tied: 0 / 0 / 0
Captured Dice: 10-sided die, X Swing 5-sided die, 8-sided die

two obvious options -- 

ONE: take his d4(2) with MY d4(2), hope to roll  a 4

force him to roll his d20. I'd then have 1 chance in 5 he'd roll low enough to be captures.

that gives me 1 chance in 20 -- actually, still more, since even if my d(4) rolls low, he has to either

roll his d20 or give mine one last chance of rolling above 19  -- this is 3/4* 1/20, for a grand total of 

7/80, or 8.75%

TWO:  take his d4(3) with my d20(5).  1/10 of the time I roll 1 or 2 and it's over; 1/20 I roll 3. He'll take my d4 and 3/4 of the time I'll have one more chance to roll the d20, with 1/20 chance of winning.

 15/20 I roll 4-18, and then I'll certainly get one more chance to roll above 19, with 1/20 chance of winning;

1/20 I roll 19 and he has to take me, I could win if he rolls 1 or 2 [1/10 chance], or if he rolls a 3

and my next attack rerolls to a 4 [1/20 * 1/4 chance];

and the final 1/20 I roll 20 and I win.

what's that?  1/20*(3/4*1/20) + 15/20 * 1/20  + 1/20[1/10 + 1/20*1/4]  + 1/20 = 38/400 = 9.5%
that's pretty close!

a very common sort of decision.

Should I reroll the 20-sided die, with a faint chance of forcing the reroll of *his* 20-sided die and
an even fainter chance of rolling a 20 -- but with the not-inconsiderable  risk of having the die roll low and be recaptured by his little die?

Or should I take his d20 with my d8 and d5, which are currently showing their maximum and reroll
THEM -- leaving my d20 still vulnerable, and risking losing my little dice without any real compensation?


Button Men Game #710080
This game is 'for fun' and does not count for player rankings.

Tournament #15120: Friday like Soldiers Current Round: Round 2. (organized by TheUniverse)

Skills in this game: X Swing

Player: ElihuRoot *Dead Dude* *Fanatic*
Your Button Man: RandomBM (4 8 10 20 X)   Score: 18.5 (-12.3 sides)   Rounds Won/Lost/Tied: 0 / 0 / 0 (Out of 3 wins)
Your Captured Dice: None

4-sided die	8-sided die	20-sided die	X Swing (with 5 sides)		10-sided die
2	8	18	5		6 Captured last turn
4-sided die	6-sided die	20-sided die	20-sided die	X Swing (with 4 sides)
3	2	19	13	3

Opponent: TheUniverse *My Birthday*
Button Man: RandomBM (4 6 20 20 X)   Score: 37 (12.3 sides)   Rounds Won/Lost/Tied: 0 / 0 / 0
Captured Dice: 10-sided die

What do you think?

Personally, I don't think it's a good idea to reroll the d20 in this situation; sure, it will probably have to be rerolled, but if we take the d8 with value 6 right now, the d20 is safe for another turn -- it's always better
to wait until there are fewer dice on the board to reroll it.

But, even if you buy that, the question remains -- how should we capture that d8 with value 6? If we don't reroll the d10, it's vulnerable; but are there some other considerations  to .. um, consider? I think so,
but I don't want to give too much away, and, besides, I might be wrong.

Button Men Game #708568
This game is 'for fun' and does not count for player rankings.

Tournament #15120: Friday like Soldiers Current Round: Round 1. (organized by TheUniverse)

Skills in this game: X Swing

Player: ElihuRoot *Dead Dude* *Fanatic*
Your Button Man: RandomBM (4 8 10 20 X)   Score: 23.5 (1.6 sides)   Rounds Won/Lost/Tied: 1 / 0 / 0 (Out of 3 wins)
Your Captured Dice: None

4-sided die	8-sided die	10-sided die	20-sided die	X Swing (with 5 sides)
4	4	9	6	2
8-sided die	8-sided die	10-sided die	12-sided die	X Swing (with 4 sides)
5	6	5	3	4

Opponent: IIConfused *Lizardman* *Fanatic*
Button Man: RandomBM (8 8 10 12 X)   Score: 21 (-1.6 sides)   Rounds Won/Lost/Tied: 0 / 1 / 0
Captured Dice: None

... before I kill you Mr. Bond...

Should I take G's 20-sided die or the 12-sided die? My usual preference is to take the 20-sided die now, to prevent it from rolling too high for me to recapture -- but I have a decent chance of denying it any captures next turn, don't I? What's best?

 Button Men Game #707412
This game is 'for fun' and does not count for player rankings.

Tournament #15120: Friday like Soldiers Current Round: Round 1. (organized by TheUniverse)

Skills in this game: X Swing
Player: ElihuRoot *Dead Dude* *Fanatic*
Your Button Man: RandomBM (4 8 10 20 X)   Score: 31 (-20 sides)   Rounds Won/Lost/Tied: 2 / 0 / 0 (Out of 3 wins)
Your Captured Dice: 20-sided die

4-sided die	8-sided die	10-sided die		20-sided die
4	8	6		8 Captured last turn
4-sided die	8-sided die	20-sided die	X Swing (with 12 sides)
4	1	1	6

Opponent: Gryphon *Rage* *Fanatic*
Button Man: RandomBM (4 8 20 20 X)   Score: 61 (20 sides)   Rounds Won/Lost/Tied: 0 / 2 / 0
Captured Dice: X Swing 19-sided die, 20-sided die

Select an attack: Power Attack Skill Attack

Which reroll helps me the most?

I have no way of taking G's d20with value 19, so it's clear I should take the d20 with value 12. But how? Should I use
my d20 alone since my other dice have relatively large values and I have a 5% chance of rolling a 20? Or the d10/d19 skill attack? or the d4-d8-d19 skill attack?


Button Men Game #707412
This game is 'for fun' and does not count for player rankings.

Tournament #15120: Friday like Soldiers Current Round: Round 1. (organized by TheUniverse)

Skills in this game: X Swing
Player: ElihuRoot *Dead Dude* *Fanatic*
Your Button Man: RandomBM (4 8 10 20 X)   Score: 30.5 (1 sides)   Rounds Won/Lost/Tied: 1 / 0 / 0 (Out of 3 wins)
Your Captured Dice: None

4-sided die	8-sided die	10-sided die	20-sided die	X Swing (with 19 sides)
1	8	9	14	3
4-sided die	8-sided die	20-sided die	20-sided die	X Swing (with 6 sides)
4	7	12	19	2

Opponent: Gryphon *Rage* *Fanatic*
Button Man: RandomBM (4 8 20 20 X)   Score: 29 (-1 sides)   Rounds Won/Lost/Tied: 0 / 1 / 0
Captured Dice: None

Darn it!

I need to take both his 10-sided die and his 7-sided die to win. It's pretty close -- if I take
the 7-sided die I have 5 chances in 12 of rolling safe from capture, vs. only 4 chances in 12 if I take the 10-sided die. [anyway, if I roll 11 or 12, it won't matter which one I took]. On the other hand, leaving him his 10-sided die may give him more chances for victory in all cases but when I reroll 10,11, or 12]


Button Men Game #706066

Skills in this game: Twin, Stinger, Morphing, Shadow, X Swing

Player: ElihuRoot *Dead Dude* *Fanatic*
Your Button Man: RandomBM (g4 6 12 s(7,7) X)   Score: 38 (5.6 sides)   Rounds Won/Lost/Tied: 2 / 2 / 0 (Out of 3 wins)
Your Captured Dice: Morphing Twin Die (both with 9 sides), 9-sided die

Stinger 4-sided die	6-sided die	12-sided die		X Swing (with 4 sides)
1	1	11		2 Captured last turn
6-sided die	10-sided die	X Swing (with 7 sides)
3	6	7

Opponent: randomlife *randomly randomized randomizers* *Fanatic*
Button Man: RandomBM (6 9 10 m(9,9) X)   Score: 29.5 (-5.6 sides)   Rounds Won/Lost/Tied: 2 / 2 / 0
Captured Dice: Shadow Twin Die (both with 7 sides), X Swing 4-sided die

What should I do?

There's no doubt that I should take the 6-sided die (wait -- as I think about it, I'm starting to generate

some doubt in my mind!) -- but should I capture with my  6 sided die or my 4 sided die?

I can articulate reasons for both, but the more I think about it, the  less convincing those reasons sound to me.

Button Men Game #706066

Skills in this game: Twin, Stinger, Morphing, Shadow, X Swing

Player: ElihuRoot *Dead Dude* *Fanatic*
Your Button Man: RandomBM (g4 6 12 s(7,7) X)   Score: 34 (-1.3 sides)   Rounds Won/Lost/Tied: 0 / 0 / 0 (Out of 3 wins)
Your Captured Dice: Morphing Twin Die (both with 9 sides), 9-sided die

Stinger 4-sided die	6-sided die	X Swing (with 4 sides)		12-sided die
1	5	4		2 Captured last turn
6-sided die	10-sided die	X Swing (with 4 sides)
4	7	4

Opponent: randomlife *randomly randomized randomizers* *Fanatic*
Button Man: RandomBM (6 9 10 m(9,9) X)   Score: 36 (1.3 sides)   Rounds Won/Lost/Tied: 0 / 0 / 0
Captured Dice: Shadow Twin Die (both with 7 sides), 12-sided die