(A) after 1200-1900 games, why should Iago have a 4% better record than Dirgo? Is it their respective button groups? [should look at the breakdown of their games by opposing button, and somehow renormalize]
With a probability of winning of about 40, the standard deviation after 1200 games would be about 0.7 %
of course that assumes the games are independent, and all are 40%, etc. -- still 4% is nearly 6 standard deviations...
(B) Chang seems *way* too low, doesn't it? the option dice aren't as simple as an X-swing but
you have so many more options here, including NO twenty-sided dice, or having one 2 sided die
[you could have 20 20 20 4, 20 20 20 8, or 20 20 20 20 which captures much of the power of the 20 20 20 X recipes -- but you ALSO have 20 20 20 2, and 2 8 20 20, and all sort of other variants that could be very useful.] I do suspect that Chang is easier to misplay, but, with perfect play has the potential to do about as well and maybe even a bit better than Dirgo/Iago.
103 | Chang (TL) | 2/20 2/20 4/20 8/20 | Fantasy | 1270 | 2314 | 3584 | 35.43% |
93 | Bill (TL) | 20 20 20 (V,V) | Dork Victory | 1639 | 2069 | 3708 | 44.2% |
51 | Iago (TL) | 20 20 20 X | Soldiers | 1935 | 2541 | 4476 | 43.23% |
158 | Dirgo (TL) | 20 20 20 X | Majesty | 1210 | 1875 | 3085 | 39.22% |
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